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WisdomTree Insights
LME Week 2025 will highlight a growing divide in base metals. Nickel output, led by Indonesia, continues to surge, deepening surpluses and pressuring prices. Copper, meanwhile, faces shrinking supply and rising risks of deficit by 2026. Forecasts from the International Study Groups from the prior week reveal sharply diverging market paths.
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LME Week 2025 will highlight a growing divide in base metals. Nickel output, led by Indonesia, continues to surge, deepening surpluses and pressuring prices. Copper, meanwhile, faces shrinking supply and rising risks of deficit by 2026. Forecasts from the International Study Groups from the prior week reveal sharply diverging market paths.
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OPEC+ is unwinding supply cuts faster than planned, aiming to reclaim market share, though output lags targets. Forecasts diverge: IEA sees a large surplus, OPEC a deficit, and EIA a moderate surplus. Despite price gains on sanction fears, we expect near-term downside pressure and see opportunities in tactical oil shorts.
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Silver has surged past $40/oz for the first time since 2011, up 40% YTD versus gold’s 35%. Persistent supply deficits, strong investor flows, and silver’s high beta to gold support further upside. Tariff uncertainty has distorted markets, while USGS’s draft Critical Minerals List highlights silver’s importance.
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Commodities have proven resilient in 2025, with gold consolidating as a safe haven amid deficits, dollar weakness, and geopolitical risks. Industrial metals face tariff-driven distortions but remain vital for energy transition, AI, and defence. Oil stays volatile but capped, while a softening dollar adds broad support. Scarcity, security, and strategy define the outlook.
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WisdomTree presents a data-driven framework to forecast bitcoin and gold prices through 2030 and beyond, grounded in monetary supply dynamics. Using three distinct scenarios – deflationary, base, and inflationary – the analysis provides institutional investors with actionable perspectives on the role of hard assets as a safeguard against fiat currency erosion.
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Europe's record-breaking heatwave brought extreme temperatures, deadly wildfires, and surging energy demand. Power grids across southern and eastern Europe faced stress as cooling needs soared, boosting reliance on gas and solar. However, rising sea temperatures may reduce solar output, increasing fossil fuel use. The heatwave has intensified carbon market activity and highlighted the urgent need for climate resilience.
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